Will this "first trading day of the month" follow the expected bias?

08/03/2020 09:06 AM - By Brian Casto
Testing the "first trading day of the month" in the current market conditions suggests there is no bias to follow today.  Our test shows even in a bullish market environment with an open expected above the prior day high, results of an intraday trade in the Futures Indices may have mixed results, showing no bias.  

Opening Gap Direction - UP

Market Status - On this first trading day of the month, we likely will open above the prior day high in a fairly bullish environment.  

Instrument - ES, NQ, YM, RTY

Trading SetUp - Intraday Open

Market Trend - Above the 200 Day Moving Average (200MA) and above the 10 Day Moving Average (10MA)

Trade Type - Long

Entry - 9:30 am ET (Market Open)

Exit - 4:15 pm ET (Market Close)

Brian Casto